--- title: "This Week — Held Out" description: "This week’s NFL games, each with RICE’s win probability and projected score, and how its calls went." url: "https://heldout.org/teams/matchups" --- # RICE Team Rankings Every NFL team since 1999, rated week by week. [How it works](/methodology/rice) ### Week 3 0 of 1 called Thu, 9/24 Missed [Atlanta Falcons](/teams/search/ATL/2026) predicted 25% 35 [Green Bay Packers](/teams/search/GB/2026) predicted 75% 14 predicted GB by 6.5 actual ATL by 21 Sun, 9/27 1:00 PM EDT Carolina Panthers Bryce Young · 71.6 41% Cleveland Browns Deshaun Watson · 68.5 59% CLE by 2.5 Details Sun, 9/27 1:00 PM EDT Cincinnati Bengals Joe Burrow · 82.0 54% Pittsburgh Steelers Aaron Rodgers · 69.4 46% CIN by 1.5 Details Sun, 9/27 1:00 PM EDT Houston Texans C.J. Stroud · 72.3 46% Indianapolis Colts Daniel Jones · 74.3 54% IND by 2 Details Sun, 9/27 1:00 PM EDT Kansas City Chiefs Patrick Mahomes · 84.1 70% Miami Dolphins Malik Willis · 70.8 30% KC by 5 Details Sun, 9/27 1:00 PM EDT Los Angeles Chargers Justin Herbert · 71.3 15% Buffalo Bills Josh Allen · 95.3 85% BUF by 11.5 Details Sun, 9/27 1:00 PM EDT New England Patriots Drake Maye · 82.1 41% Jacksonville Jaguars Trevor Lawrence · 78.9 59% JAX by 3 Details Sun, 9/27 1:00 PM EDT New York Jets Geno Smith · 65.8 24% Detroit Lions Jared Goff · 82.4 76% DET by 7 Details Sun, 9/27 1:00 PM EDT Seattle Seahawks Sam Darnold · 74.9 64% Washington Commanders Marcus Mariota · 75.8 36% SEA by 3.5 Details Sun, 9/27 1:00 PM EDT Tennessee Titans Cam Ward · 62.2 36% New York Giants Jameis Winston · 72.4 64% NYG by 3.5 Details Sun, 9/27 4:05 PM EDT Arizona Cardinals Jacoby Brissett · 67.1 19% San Francisco 49ers Brock Purdy · 89.2 81% SF by 9 Details Sun, 9/27 4:05 PM EDT Minnesota Vikings Kyler Murray · 75.1 48% Tampa Bay Buccaneers Baker Mayfield · 76.0 52% TB by 1 Details Sun, 9/27 4:25 PM EDT Baltimore Ravens Lamar Jackson · 82.8 53% Dallas Cowboys Dak Prescott · 82.9 47% BAL by 1.5 Details Sun, 9/27 4:25 PM EDT Las Vegas Raiders Kirk Cousins · 73.5 41% New Orleans Saints Tyler Shough · 72.6 59% NO by 3 Details Sun, 9/27 8:20 PM EDT Los Angeles Rams Matthew Stafford · 81.3 52% Denver Broncos Bo Nix · 78.6 49% LA by 0.5 Details Mon, 9/28 8:15 PM EDT Philadelphia Eagles Jalen Hurts · 80.8 46% Chicago Bears Caleb Williams · 75.1 54% CHI by 2 Details This week's injury report — 111 players The model uses this. Snap counts are published within a day of each game, so who is missing — and how much they play — is known before kickoff. | Team | Player | Pos | Status | Injury | | ----------------------------- | ----------------------- | --- | ------------ | ------------------------------------ | | [ARI](/teams/search/ARI/2026) | Dadrion Taylor-Demerson | S | Out | Back | | [ARI](/teams/search/ARI/2026) | Max Melton | CB | Questionable | Toe | | [ARI](/teams/search/ARI/2026) | Roy Lopez | DT | Questionable | Groin | | [ATL](/teams/search/ATL/2026) | Samson Ebukam | DE | Out | Hamstring | | [ATL](/teams/search/ATL/2026) | Billy Bowman Jr. | CB | Questionable | Achilles | | [BAL](/teams/search/BAL/2026) | Ronnie Stanley | T | Out | Toe | | [BAL](/teams/search/BAL/2026) | Zay Flowers | WR | Questionable | Hamstring | | [BUF](/teams/search/BUF/2026) | Jordan Hancock | CB | Out | Hamstring | | [BUF](/teams/search/BUF/2026) | T.J. Sanders | DE | Out | Illness | | [BUF](/teams/search/BUF/2026) | Ar'maj Reed-Adams | G | Questionable | Elbow | | [BUF](/teams/search/BUF/2026) | DJ Moore | WR | Questionable | Shoulder | | [BUF](/teams/search/BUF/2026) | Ed Oliver | DT | Questionable | Hip | | [BUF](/teams/search/BUF/2026) | Keon Coleman | WR | Questionable | Ankle | | [CAR](/teams/search/CAR/2026) | Claudin Cherelus | LB | Out | Shoulder | | [CAR](/teams/search/CAR/2026) | Devin Lloyd | LB | Out | Calf | | [CAR](/teams/search/CAR/2026) | Nick Scott | S | Out | Rib | | [CAR](/teams/search/CAR/2026) | Jalen Coker | WR | Questionable | Ankle | | [CAR](/teams/search/CAR/2026) | Xavier Legette | WR | Questionable | Knee | | [CIN](/teams/search/CIN/2026) | B.J. Hill | DT | Doubtful | Achilles | | [CIN](/teams/search/CIN/2026) | Andrei Iosivas | WR | Out | Thumb | | [CLE](/teams/search/CLE/2026) | Teven Jenkins | G | Out | Back | | [CLE](/teams/search/CLE/2026) | Grant Delpit | S | Questionable | Shoulder | | [CLE](/teams/search/CLE/2026) | Tyson Campbell | CB | Questionable | Ankle | | [DAL](/teams/search/DAL/2026) | Cobie Durant | CB | Out | Hamstring | | [DAL](/teams/search/DAL/2026) | DeMarvion Overshown | LB | Out | Hamstring | | [DAL](/teams/search/DAL/2026) | Malik Hooker | S | Out | Forearm | | [DAL](/teams/search/DAL/2026) | P.J. Locke | S | Out | Foot | | [DEN](/teams/search/DEN/2026) | Jonah Coleman | RB | Out | Ankle | | [DEN](/teams/search/DEN/2026) | Marvin Mims Jr. | WR | Questionable | Foot | | [DET](/teams/search/DET/2026) | Ben Bartch | G | Out | Foot | | [DET](/teams/search/DET/2026) | Thomas Harper | S | Out | Ankle | | [GB](/teams/search/GB/2026) | Aaron Banks | G | Out | Knee | | [GB](/teams/search/GB/2026) | Jayden Reed | WR | Out | Neck | | [GB](/teams/search/GB/2026) | Warren Brinson | DT | Out | Calf | | [GB](/teams/search/GB/2026) | Zach Bako-Bewele | T | Out | Knee | | [GB](/teams/search/GB/2026) | Anthony Campbell | DT | Questionable | Ankle | | [GB](/teams/search/GB/2026) | Javon Hargrave | DT | Questionable | Knee | | [HOU](/teams/search/HOU/2026) | Ed Ingram | G | Out | Groin | | [HOU](/teams/search/HOU/2026) | Jacob Hummel | LB | Out | Groin | | [HOU](/teams/search/HOU/2026) | Jadeveon Clowney | DE | Out | Knee | | [HOU](/teams/search/HOU/2026) | M.J. Stewart | S | Out | Knee | | [HOU](/teams/search/HOU/2026) | Nico Collins | WR | Out | Hamstring | | [HOU](/teams/search/HOU/2026) | Trent Brown | T | Questionable | Knee | | [IND](/teams/search/IND/2026) | Alec Pierce | WR | Out | Heel | | [IND](/teams/search/IND/2026) | Ashton Dulin | WR | Out | Ankle | | [IND](/teams/search/IND/2026) | Charvarius Ward | CB | Questionable | Groin | | [JAX](/teams/search/JAX/2026) | Albert Regis | DT | Doubtful | Elbow | | [KC](/teams/search/KC/2026) | Chamarri Conner | S | Doubtful | Knee | | [KC](/teams/search/KC/2026) | Josh Simmons | T | Out | Back | | [LA](/teams/search/LA/2026) | Kamren Kinchens | S | Doubtful | Hamstring | | [LA](/teams/search/LA/2026) | Puka Nacua | WR | Doubtful | Hip | | [LA](/teams/search/LA/2026) | Colby Parkinson | TE | Questionable | Knee | | [LAC](/teams/search/LAC/2026) | Brenen Thompson | WR | Out | Quadricep | | [LAC](/teams/search/LAC/2026) | Charlie Kolar | TE | Out | Forearm | | [LAC](/teams/search/LAC/2026) | Dalvin Tomlinson | DT | Out | Hamstring | | [LAC](/teams/search/LAC/2026) | Elijah Molden | S | Out | Hamstring | | [LAC](/teams/search/LAC/2026) | Kayode Awosika | G | Out | Fibula | | [LAC](/teams/search/LAC/2026) | Trey Pipkins | T | Out | Knee | | [LAC](/teams/search/LAC/2026) | Rodney Shelley | CB | Questionable | Hamstring | | [LAC](/teams/search/LAC/2026) | Trey Lance | QB | Questionable | Groin | | [LV](/teams/search/LV/2026) | Treydan Stukes | S | Out | Concussion | | [LV](/teams/search/LV/2026) | Aidan O'Connell | QB | Questionable | Not injury related - personal matter | | [LV](/teams/search/LV/2026) | Brock Bowers | TE | Questionable | Knee | | [LV](/teams/search/LV/2026) | Kwity Paye | DE | Questionable | Illness | | [MIA](/teams/search/MIA/2026) | Jaylen Wright | RB | Doubtful | Stinger | | [MIA](/teams/search/MIA/2026) | Caleb Douglas | WR | Out | Ankle | | [MIA](/teams/search/MIA/2026) | Rob Beal Jr. | DE | Out | Hamstring | | [MIA](/teams/search/MIA/2026) | Julius Brents | CB | Questionable | Knee | | [MIA](/teams/search/MIA/2026) | Ryan Miller | WR | Questionable | Hip | | [MIN](/teams/search/MIN/2026) | Brett Thorson | P | Out | Hamstring | | [MIN](/teams/search/MIN/2026) | Nick Samac | C | Out | Knee | | [NE](/teams/search/NE/2026) | Brenden Schooler | S | Out | Back | | [NE](/teams/search/NE/2026) | Dre'Mont Jones | LB | Out | Shoulder | | [NE](/teams/search/NE/2026) | Quintayvious Hutchins | LB | Out | Knee | | [NE](/teams/search/NE/2026) | Craig Woodson | S | Questionable | Shoulder | | [NE](/teams/search/NE/2026) | Eli Raridon | TE | Questionable | Thigh | | [NO](/teams/search/NO/2026) | Barion Brown | WR | Out | Hamstring | | [NO](/teams/search/NO/2026) | Christen Miller | DT | Out | Toe | | [NO](/teams/search/NO/2026) | Martin Emerson | CB | Questionable | Shoulder | | [NYG](/teams/search/NYG/2026) | Brian Burns | LB | Questionable | Ankle | | [NYG](/teams/search/NYG/2026) | Deonte Banks | CB | Questionable | Calf | | [NYG](/teams/search/NYG/2026) | Tyler Nubin | S | Questionable | Calf | | [NYJ](/teams/search/NYJ/2026) | Kene Nwangwu | RB | Doubtful | Back | | [NYJ](/teams/search/NYJ/2026) | Francisco Mauigoa | LB | Out | Quadricep | | [NYJ](/teams/search/NYJ/2026) | Mason Taylor | TE | Out | Thumb | | [NYJ](/teams/search/NYJ/2026) | Minkah Fitzpatrick | S | Out | Groin | | [NYJ](/teams/search/NYJ/2026) | Adonai Mitchell | WR | Questionable | Finger | | [NYJ](/teams/search/NYJ/2026) | Joseph Ossai | DE | Questionable | Foot | | [PIT](/teams/search/PIT/2026) | Gennings Dunker | G | Out | Knee | | [PIT](/teams/search/PIT/2026) | Rico Dowdle | RB | Out | Toe | | [PIT](/teams/search/PIT/2026) | Jamel Dean | CB | Questionable | Ankle | | [PIT](/teams/search/PIT/2026) | Jaylen Warren | RB | Questionable | Shoulder | | [PIT](/teams/search/PIT/2026) | Joey Porter Jr. | CB | Questionable | Not injury related - other | | [PIT](/teams/search/PIT/2026) | Michael Pittman | WR | Questionable | Foot | | [SEA](/teams/search/SEA/2026) | Julian Love | S | Out | Calf | | [SEA](/teams/search/SEA/2026) | Ty Okada | S | Out | Hamstring | | [SEA](/teams/search/SEA/2026) | Brandon Pili | DT | Questionable | Concussion | | [SF](/teams/search/SF/2026) | Demarcus Robinson | WR | Out | Ankle | | [SF](/teams/search/SF/2026) | James Thompson Jr. | DT | Out | Ankle | | [SF](/teams/search/SF/2026) | Nick Bosa | DE | Out | Knee | | [SF](/teams/search/SF/2026) | Romello Height | DE | Out | Hand | | [SF](/teams/search/SF/2026) | Mike Evans | WR | Questionable | Hip | | [TB](/teams/search/TB/2026) | Josiah Trotter | LB | Out | Shoulder | | [TB](/teams/search/TB/2026) | Rueben Bain Jr. | LB | Out | Groin | | [TEN](/teams/search/TEN/2026) | Cordale Flott | CB | Questionable | Quadricep | | [TEN](/teams/search/TEN/2026) | Tyjae Spears | RB | Questionable | Ankle | | [WAS](/teams/search/WAS/2026) | Chig Okonkwo | TE | Out | Hamstring | | [WAS](/teams/search/WAS/2026) | Frankie Luvu | LB | Out | Groin | | [WAS](/teams/search/WAS/2026) | Jayden Daniels | QB | Out | Elbow | | [WAS](/teams/search/WAS/2026) | Nick Cross | S | Out | Illness | | [WAS](/teams/search/WAS/2026) | Sam Cosmi | G | Out | Concussion | ## Data - [matchups/injuries.json](/data/matchups/injuries.json) - [matchups/results.json](/data/matchups/results.json) - [matchups/upcoming.json](/data/matchups/upcoming.json) Last Updated: Sep 26, 2026, 3:56 PM PDT © 2026, Aditya Kishore. 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