---
title: "Held Out Analytics — NFL team and quarterback ratings"
description: "RICE rates NFL teams and BRADY rates quarterbacks. Every team and every quarterback since 1999, from free public play-by-play, never from betting lines."
url: "https://heldout.org/"
---

# State of the Art NFL Metrics

Free Opponent-Adjusted QB and Team Rankings Dating Back to 1999

RICE, For Teams: Recursive Indicator of Competitive Edge BRADY, For QBs: Bayesian Regressed Adjusted Down Yield

- [This Week’s Matchups](/teams/matchups)
- [Quarterback Rankings](/quarterbacks/rankings)
- [Team Rankings](/teams/rankings)
- [How It Works](/methodology/rice)

Week 3

## [Upcoming Matchups](/teams/matchups)

1. Sun 1:00 PM EDT Carolina Panthers CAR 41% at 59% CLE Cleveland Browns
2. Sun 1:00 PM EDT Cincinnati Bengals CIN 54% at 46% PIT Pittsburgh Steelers
3. Sun 1:00 PM EDT Houston Texans HOU 46% at 54% IND Indianapolis Colts
4. Sun 1:00 PM EDT Kansas City Chiefs KC 70% at 30% MIA Miami Dolphins
5. Sun 1:00 PM EDT Los Angeles Chargers LAC 15% at 85% BUF Buffalo Bills

Updated Sep 26

## [RICE rankings](/teams/rankings)

1. 1 Buffalo Bills 91.6
2. 2 San Francisco 49ers 90.9
3. 3 Los Angeles Rams 87.6
4. 4 New England Patriots 86.4
5. 5 Kansas City Chiefs 86.0

Updated Sep 26

## [BRADY rankings](/quarterbacks/rankings)

1. 1 Josh Allen 95.3
2. 2 Brock Purdy 89.2
3. 3 Patrick Mahomes 84.1
4. 4 Dak Prescott 82.9
5. 5 Lamar Jackson 82.8

## Data

- [matchups/upcoming.json](/data/matchups/upcoming.json)
- [season/2026/quarterbacks.json](/data/season/2026/quarterbacks.json)
- [season/2026/teams.json](/data/season/2026/teams.json)

Last Updated: Sep 26, 2026, 3:56 PM PDT © 2026, Aditya Kishore. All Rights Reserved. Club marks are the clubs’ own trademarks. Past marks courtesy of [SportsLogoHistory.com](https://sportslogohistory.com/nfl-primary-logo/) and data courtesy of [nflverse](https://nflverse.nflverse.com/).